A Textbook Trade Setup

During the overnight session on 02/20/2022 the following setup in Bitcoin presented itself. I decided to do this post because the setup is as textbook as they come! All comments in this post are referring to the hourly chart but these setups work on all timeframes. First, price had experienced a sharp (impulsive) decline from … Read more

Low Probability Trades

Almost every option ‘expert’ will tell you that any trade that has a high reward/risk ratio will have a low probability of profit or success. And they’d be partially right. But they wouldn’t necessarily be profitable. In fact, I think there’s a high probability that most high probability traders are not profitable in the long … Read more

Building a Better Position

I often refer to building a position rather than making a trade. Sometimes a trade is just a trade and sometimes it’s the cornerstone of a new structure. The particular position I’m about to discuss has components of both a trade and the building of a larger position. I hope you’ll find it useful. On … Read more

The Really Long Trade

The first step in my process of initiating a new option position is identifying a promising chart setup. I’ll consider setups on various time frames anywhere from the 65-minute charts all the way up to the monthly charts. My typical trades originate from the daily and weekly charts but I’m always looking for the best … Read more

Trading Earnings

One of the most reliable chart patterns for an upcoming directional trend is the consolidation range. Below is the daily chart of MU. Price experienced a strong 45% rally from the beginning of November thru December 4th. Since then price has moved sideways in a $5 range between ~69.50 and ~74.50. Since a range like … Read more

The HD LEAP

For the purposes of this post I be focusing on the longer-term charts, primarily the weekly chart. The weekly chart is particularly useful for finding entries into option positions with 3+ months of duration. Of course they can be used for shorter-term trades but a balanced option portfolio will be comprised of bullish and bearish … Read more

A Better Way to Trade!

Trading is hard. That’s not breaking news. We all know that. The hardest part of trading for most is once in a trade when to exit. Often a trade is initially profitable only to have it reverse and take back all of the profits and then some. After that experience it’s easy to exit a … Read more