Bullish/Bearish or Bearish/Bullish? 🤷‍♂️

Below is the current SPX position in the account that I refer to as the PDT (Pattern Day Trader) account. It is a smaller account (less than $25K) that is limited to a maximum of 3 round-trip trades within the same day over a 5 day period. PDT accounts are especially well-suited to using longer … Read more

A Textbook Trade Setup

During the overnight session on 02/20/2022 the following setup in Bitcoin presented itself. I decided to do this post because the setup is as textbook as they come! All comments in this post are referring to the hourly chart but these setups work on all timeframes. First, price had experienced a sharp (impulsive) decline from … Read more

Low Probability Trades

Almost every option ‘expert’ will tell you that any trade that has a high reward/risk ratio will have a low probability of profit or success. And they’d be partially right. But they wouldn’t necessarily be profitable. In fact, I think there’s a high probability that most high probability traders are not profitable in the long … Read more

The Pathway to Zero Cost

Paul gave me these screenshots and asked me to finish the analysis. Here goes: Just before noon on Friday, Paul bought the 24SEPT 4425/4400/4375/4350 put condor in $SPX. He paid $3.00. The Put Condor has an especially effective risk profile. The position carried just -2.67 deltas, and had a $300 max loss and a $2,200 … Read more

Asymmetrical Reward/Risk

I want to preface this lesson with an explanation of why this trade will look larger in size than my typical trades from the past in this service. I used to have 2 separate trading accounts that go back many years and I finally got tired of the occasional mistake of hedging a position in … Read more