Real-time options education and strategies
This SPX chart reflects my current analysis of the daily time frame. The 8 SMA bands are still upsloping which represents a price uptrend although good location for a new long is currently down around 4050. That’s well below Friday’s closing price of 4105 but I’m not basing my current trade on the rising lower … Read more
Most of the comments in this post are written on the charts. You’re welcome to download and save them to refer back to them periodically when you need a reminder about the importance of patience in trading! Lack of patience and over-trading is likely one of the biggest causes of losing money in trading. You’ll … Read more
This post is for every type of trader but especially those who either don’t have the time or the ability to trade all day long. Even those traders who can trade at any time it’s good to have a primary position that is in the direction of the underlying trend that doesn’t need to be … Read more
There’s no question in my mind that algos trade the Fibs. Keep in mind that there are Fib retracements & Fib extensions and they compliment each other. The 50%-61.8% Fib retracements are more important to my work since they offer good location for trade initiation. I then use a process of Delta Hedging (DH) to … Read more
Lots of ‘experts’ are calling for a market crash but I don’t know of any traders who’ve had long term success following the ‘experts so what do the charts say? SPX had a strong rally in the final hour of trading on Friday but still ended the week down about 200 points. The Friday afternoon … Read more
This post is about the smaller account that I manage for somebody. The positions are smaller and easier to understand than my positions which don’t seem that helpful for demonstrating good trading techniques! 😄 On twitter I refer to it as the PDT account. PDT is short for Pattern Day Trader and if you don’t … Read more
Over the years I’ve developed my own methods of analyzing price action and that has helped me stay on the right side of the trade most of the time. Of course there are going to be failures along the way that aren’t necessarily due to a misreading of the chart but rather a news events … Read more
Friday, Sep2, could, in retrospect, be an important day in revealing a clue to the next directional move in /ES (S&P 500 index futures) and the other stock indexes. The low of Thursday (#2), Sep2, was 3903.65 and price rallied strongly closing near the high of the day leaving a relatively long lower wick and … Read more
Yesterday I tweeted that there was an opportunity to add long /ES (bullish) Deltas on the potential 30-minute bullish reversal. The buy zone was 3971-74 and the stop was 3964.50. That’s 10 points of risk. That’s important because I didn’t know that it was a bullish reversal, only that it had the potential to be … Read more
That was quite the bullish reversal last week! Below is the SPX daily chart. The green, yellow and red lines represent last year’s high, HB (Half-Back or midpoint) and low. For weeks now I’ve been expecting SPX to reach 3662 because that was last year’s low and price had already dropped below the 61.8% retracement … Read more