The Week of Sep26, 2021

Oct1 Added a 5-lot of Calls to hedge my ES position as I expect price to rally at least to 4341 today as long as 4293 holds as support. Below is my current risk profile. Below is the ES chart showing where I’ll hedge my hedge. Sep30 The overnight price action in ES is quite … Read more

Wednesday Sep22

Today is Fed Day! Hooray! 🙄 (1) I’ve mentioned in the past how the 8 SMA can not only be used for identifying trend (upward or downward sloping) and trade location (long at rising lower band, short at declining upper band) but it can also be used for timing purposes. See SPX example below. If … Read more

Tuesday Sep21

(1) /ES just prior to the regular hour’s open. Price is failing to find support at the rising 8-hour SMA lower band. It should find support there if buyer’s are strong. Support also in the 4347-55 area where yesterday’s HB and last week’s low are located. Dropping below 4347 would be bearish and would next … Read more

Easier Said Then Done?

Very important concept tweeted by Steve Burns and validated by the ‘Horse’. They both know what they’re talking about. Sounds good in theory but how do you do that? That’s what this post is about. Read it, understand it, trade it. Ask questions if you don’t get it! Step 1: Wait for a setup that … Read more

The Short Squeeze

A short squeeze often seems to come out of nowhere but if you look at the price action preceding the squeeze you’ll usually see clues that it was about to occur. See the notations on the ES (S&P 500 futures) 60-minute chart below. As you can see, some of the important levels often reveal themselves … Read more

Thursday Sep2

(1) Yesterday’s daily candle in AMZN looked like a bearish reversal candle and many traders will have established a short position prior to the close. I view that candle as a potential bearish reversal and I won’t initiate a short unless price drops below yesterday’s low. If you look at enough charts you’ll see numerous … Read more