Thursday Aug19

(1) Latest update on SPX. Failure to make a new low below the opening range low of 4367.73 is bullish. If price can now get back above today’s 4418.61 high then it’s quite possible that price will not reverse at 4425-4430 resistance. It’s clear why /ES found support here! It was both a (near) touch … Read more

Wednesday Aug18

(1) DJI up against strong resistance from 2 sources; one is last week’s HB and the other is from the 8-hour SMA declining upper band. Just because price should move lower from this area doesn’t mean it will however, either way, I’ll learn something about the relative strength of the buyers and sellers this morning. … Read more

Tuesday Aug17

(1) Taking a decent size loss on my FB position today yet I have no plans to adjust it as of now. Why? I’ve been maintaining a bullish bias for quite sometime in FB as that is what the longer-term chart has called for. However, on 08-09 I saw a shorter-term bearish setup on the … Read more

Bullish Bollinger Band Trade

In the past I’ve highlighted many times the importance of the 8 and 20 SMA bands for analyzing price action. I’ve just recently introduced you to the 1.5 standard deviation 20 SMA Bollinger Bands. The Bollinger Bands can add another dimension to your analysis because many of the strongest directional moves occur well away from … Read more

Building a Position

Below are the building blocks for a two trades; the Condor and the RS+. Positions can be built through multiple transactions or they can be initiated as a completed spread. Starting with just the long option allows for the fastest Delta Hedge towards a zero cost position because it takes the greatest Delta risk at … Read more

The Zero Cost Condor

The Condor is one of the most powerful option strategies for generating a very favorable reward/risk ratio. It can offer generous amounts of long (positive) Theta as well as short (negative) Vega. Being short Vega tends to reward a position where the underlying instrument’s price grinds higher. That is why I often utilize an out-of-the-money … Read more